Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 5.906603e-01 0.769127 0.971716 1.215692 1.498542 1.813294 2.187140
2025-04-27 3.560553e-01 0.576310 0.860925 1.241646 1.723889 2.301544 3.032724
2025-05-04 1.975765e-01 0.412828 0.733137 1.207923 1.858969 2.688347 3.792226
2025-05-11 1.029218e-01 0.292650 0.622539 1.163605 1.961019 3.031781 4.516574
2025-05-18 5.588161e-02 0.223198 0.562804 1.172304 2.125778 3.460160 5.368787
2025-05-25 2.517143e-02 0.159632 0.487970 1.136705 2.213704 3.781523 6.089136
2025-06-01 1.386076e-02 0.134849 0.477341 1.202602 2.456275 4.328970 7.136132
2025-06-08 5.497933e-03 0.103337 0.438239 1.207191 2.597262 4.732073 7.994291
2025-06-15 2.768992e-03 0.092693 0.445035 1.297930 2.883471 5.359884 9.187893
2025-06-22 9.637340e-04 0.078447 0.435605 1.352930 3.110578 5.905262 10.277504
2025-06-29 1.554196e-04 0.062971 0.414365 1.378104 3.285072 6.374095 11.266900
2025-07-06 7.260489e-09 0.045028 0.372746 1.349384 3.358514 6.685194 12.030601
2025-07-13 NaN 0.034242 0.350652 1.363462 3.514673 7.139835 13.031327
2025-07-20 NaN 0.025699 0.330495 1.378007 3.671840 7.601432 14.054918
2025-07-27 NaN 0.016049 0.291403 1.334928 3.713381 7.874756 14.800043
2025-08-03 NaN 0.009072 0.253403 1.283995 3.732594 8.108924 15.488575
2025-08-10 NaN 0.005949 0.237265 1.291497 3.869148 8.542853 16.493517
2025-08-17 NaN 0.002928 0.208620 1.252534 3.904278 8.803261 17.232003
2025-08-24 NaN 0.002393 0.213208 1.322418 4.175181 9.477207 18.632167
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001290 0.199492 1.327058 4.304094 9.906793 19.653244
2025-09-07 NaN 0.001217 0.211257 1.423654 4.640035 10.706902 21.274976
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000878 0.212455 1.482144 4.893527 11.366727 22.682387
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000476 0.205433 1.508895 5.076817 11.906022 23.904942